(1) Accept that when it comes to forecasting crypto or stocks, nobody knows anything; people making forecasts are simply selling you something. If their model is not monetary gain, then it’s influence or follower gain. The “forecasters” have realized their KPI’s are not reliant on their accuracy over time. By the time they’ve told you about a real “deal,” it’s too late to take advantage of it, if it even exists.
(2) The key to consistent success for most people is HODLing with some diversification for risk mitigation. In a near-perfect market nobody has an “edge” except the whales, who’re using hyper-fast, hyper-efficient trading algorithms with very large trades. That ain’t you.
(3) Chasing the next big thing, for 99% of people, means being doomed to a cycle of always being just a little too late to capture the full upside or bail before the downside most of the time …but those people doing that will focus on the once or twice they manage it and as a result suppress the more frequent times they don’t …because, human nature (it’s the same thing that fuels casinos).
None of this should be news to you.